James H . Bigelow and Paul K . Davis IMPLICATIONS FOR MODEL VALIDATION of Multiresolution , Multiperspective Modeling ( MRMPM ) and Exploratory Analysis
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چکیده
RAND is a nonprofit institution that helps improve policy and decisionmaking through research and analysis. RAND ® is a registered trademark. RAND's publications do not necessarily reflect the opinions or policies of its research sponsors. All rights reserved. No part of this book may be reproduced in any form by any electronic or mechanical means (including photocopying, recording, or information storage and retrieval) without permission in writing from RAND. Preface This monograph is a significantly revised version of an invited presentation given at the Workshop on Foundations of Modeling and Simulation (M&S) 2002. The workshop had many sponsors but was of special interest to the Defense Modeling and Simulation Office (DMSO). The monograph is oriented toward working analysts and modelers concerned with defense issues, although the ideas are more general and draw upon examples from other domains. funded research and development center for studies and analyses. PAF provides the Air Force with independent analyses of policy alternatives affecting the development, employment, combat readiness, and support of current and future aerospace forces. Research is performed in four programs: Aerospace Force
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Exploratory Analysis and a Case History of Multiresolution, Multiperspective Modeling
The objective of exploratory analysis is t o gain a broad u n d e r s tanding of a p rob lem domain before going into details for pa r ticular cases. Its focus is unders tand ing comprehensively the consequences of u ncertainty, which requires a good deal more than normal sensitivity analysis. Such analysis is facilitated by multiresolution, m u l t i p e r s p e c t i v e m o d e l i n g (MRMP...
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RAND is a nonprofit institution that helps improve policy and decisionmaking through research and analysis. RAND ® is a registered trademark. RAND's publications do not necessarily reflect the opinions or policies of its research sponsors. All rights reserved. No part of this book may be reproduced in any form by any electronic or mechanical means (including photocopying, recording, or informat...
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